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US Economy Looks to Continue Good Performance into 2020, But 2021 Could Be Another Story

We should expect some degree of decline in 2021 especially if 2020 sees rapid growth, simply because the economy goes through boom and bust cycles. So, 2021 could be the year for the bust phase of the business cycle because 2020 showed us the boom phase of the cycle.

Inflation and Mortgage Rate Rise as U.S. Economy Picks Up Steam, Despite Moderate Levels of Volatility and Lackluster Retail Sales Numbers

The CBOE Fear Index otherwise known as the Volatility Index (VIX) dropped by 1.31 or 9.4% on Friday from 13.94 to 12.63. What does all this mean? Well, simply put, the VIX measures the fear level of stock investors.

Market Volatility and Global Economic Slow Down Could Cause Widespread Use of Cryptocurrency by Governments

Here comes the irony of the U.S. economy. This irony shows, that increase volatility, is at play. The first proof of this, screams out in the form of the Disappointing ISM Manufacturing PMI for November, which came in at 48.1% missing market forecasts of 49.2% and a previous reading of 48.3%.

Trade Deal Uncertainty Dominated Market Sentiment Despite Upbeat GDP Numbers

Global growth continues to decline as a result of the prolonged trade war, and with the December 15 deadline fast approaching, it’s unclear whether or not a limited phase-one deal for a new round of tariff can even be achieved, this year.

The U.S. Economy Improved in October, Housing Starts and Building Permits Data Show

The U.S. economy continues to show signs of improvement. It has been the third week in a row that we have seen positive economic numbers. This week’s offering provides us with positive releases such as the Housing Starts, Building Permits, Existing Home Sales, Manufacturing PMI, Services PMI, and Consumer Sentiment Reports.

Recent Interest Rate Cuts, Already Showing Economic Improvements

When the economy begins to expand, the inflation rate will also begin to increase. Therefore, the Federal Reserve must be extremely careful when cutting interest rates because cutting interest rates too much could cause inflation to rise too quickly.

U.S. Economy Boosted by Improved Trade Deficit and ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI

The Trade Balance, released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods or services over the reported period. A positive number indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported. A Trade Balance with a negative value is called a trade deficit while a Trade Balance with a positive number is called a trade surplus. As we have mentioned previously a Trade Balance equals the value of exports minus the value of imports.

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