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Trade Deal Uncertainty Dominated Market Sentiment Despite Upbeat GDP Numbers

Global growth continues to decline as a result of the prolonged trade war, and with the December 15 deadline fast approaching, it’s unclear whether or not a limited phase-one deal for a new round of tariff can even be achieved, this year.

The U.S. Economy Improved in October, Housing Starts and Building Permits Data Show

The U.S. economy continues to show signs of improvement. It has been the third week in a row that we have seen positive economic numbers. This week’s offering provides us with positive releases such as the Housing Starts, Building Permits, Existing Home Sales, Manufacturing PMI, Services PMI, and Consumer Sentiment Reports.

Recent Interest Rate Cuts, Already Showing Economic Improvements

When the economy begins to expand, the inflation rate will also begin to increase. Therefore, the Federal Reserve must be extremely careful when cutting interest rates because cutting interest rates too much could cause inflation to rise too quickly.

U.S. Economy Boosted by Improved Trade Deficit and ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI

The Trade Balance, released by the Bureau of Economic Analysis, measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods or services over the reported period. A positive number indicates that more goods and services were exported than imported. A Trade Balance with a negative value is called a trade deficit while a Trade Balance with a positive number is called a trade surplus. As we have mentioned previously a Trade Balance equals the value of exports minus the value of imports.

Recession Worries Caused Fed to Cut Interest Rate By 25 Basis Points to 1.75 Percent

Even consumers don’t feel all that confident about the economy. The recent Conference Board Consumer Confidence Report for October showed that consumers are less confident about the economy now, than they were a month earlier. The CB Consumer Confidence Report released Tuesday, October 29, 2019, at 10 AM, for October, posted current readings of 125.9 missing forecast of 128.0 and a previous reading of 126.3.

U.S. Economy Stares Recession in the Face, 25 Percent Interest Rate Cut Expected by Fed on Wednesday!

Based on the current New Homes Sales Report, the U.S. economy continues to show slow growth, signaling that the expansion phase, of the business cycle could be coming to an end. The economy began expanding from June 2009, right after the stock market crash of 2008, until now, 11 years later.

U.S. Economy Tip Toeing on Edge of Recession, Retail Sales and Housing Starts Data Show!

If this is not a recession, then I don’t know what is? Can the U.S. economy get any worse than this? Week after week, we continue to get negative economic growth numbers. The GDP hasn’t moved from 2% for the past few months. I know that the classification of a recession is 2 consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth and the classification of a Depression is 8 consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth, but come on!

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