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The Traders Corner

US Economy Experiencing Slow Growth Confirmed by Non-farm Payroll, Manufacturing, and Retail Sales Data

The Core Retail Sales Report measures changes in the total value of sales at the retail level in the U.S., excluding automobiles. The report shows the rate of consumer spending. It functions as a pace indicator for the U.S. economy, how fast or how slow the growth of the economy is currently progressing. As we can see in the report, the previous reading was 1.0%, the forecasted reading 0.1%, and the actual reading came in at 0.0%. So, this is confirming that U.S. economic growth has slowed down dramatically or is slowly growing.

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US Treasury 30-Year Bond Yield Hits Record Low, Economy Heading for Recession?

The infamous inverted yield curve is used to forecast economic recession and it too has shown itself a few times recently, flip flopping its way into the hearts of paranoid investors. The take-away from this is that for a true economic recession to occur, the inverted yield curve must remain inverted for many months to qualify as a true predictor of economic recession.

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US Federal Rate cut has come and gone, Now What?

The price of gold has certainly benefitted from the US-China trade war, hitting a six-year high of $1,510. When there are uncertainties in the US dollar and global economy, investors look for safe-haven asset classes to stash their cash. Gold is one of those safe-haven asset classes that investors turn to during times of trouble. In addition, the price of gold is inversely proportional to the price of the US dollar. This means that whenever the price of gold goes up, the price and value of the US dollar goes down. So, as currency traders who trade the USD against other currencies, we should all understand the relationship between the USD and AUX (Gold).

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The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (LEI) for the U.S. Increased; Economy to Continue Expanding in Near-Term

Image of the US Economy

The ten components of The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® for the U.S. include:Average weekly hours, manufacturingAverage weekly initial claims for unemployment insuranceManufacturers' new orders, consumer goods and materialsISM® Index of New OrdersManufacturers' new orders, nondefense capital goods excluding aircraft ordersBuilding permits, new private housing unitsStock prices, 500 common stocksLeading Credit Index™Interest rate spread, 10-year Treasury bonds less federal fundsAverage consumer expectations for business conditionsFor full press release and technical notes:http://www.conference-board.org/data/bcicountry.cfm?cid=1

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Willamette Valley Vineyards Posts a Profit for 2018

Growth stock image

Jim Bernau, Founder and President of the winery, said "We are pleased Income from Operations was up 15% for the year. Earnings are affected by the dividend cost as we raised the money needed for the planned winery near Dundee prior to construction. As we are able to deploy these development funds, we expect the projected earnings to more than offset the higher dividend costs."

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US Economy Starts to Slow Entering 2019, but Headwinds Ease

GDP Growth Slowed

The Federal Reserve has signaled that it will postpone further interest rate hikes until signs of rising inflation emerge and cease balance sheet normalization activities towards the end of this year. Stock price gains since the announcement of these policy shifts illustrate that if they are executed, business confidence is likely to rise.

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Horizon Technology Finance Provides Investment Portfolio Update Increases Portfolio Size with $24 Million in Loan Originations; Grows Committed Backlog to $47 Million

Where can I get business financing?

"During the third quarter, we experienced solid investment activity, increasing the size of our portfolio and expanding our committed backlog for the second consecutive quarter," said Gerald A. Michaud, President of Horizon. "Our success funding seven loans, totaling more than $24 million, and growing our committed backlog to $47 million underscores the strong demand for our venture debt products to growing life science and technology companies. We believe Horizon will continue to benefit from a robust pipeline of investment opportunities and is well positioned to deliver long-term, disciplined portfolio growth, while ensuring credit quality remains strong."

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Immune Design (IMDZ) Alert: Johnson Fistel Investigates Proposed Sale of Immune Design Corp.; Are Immune Design Shareholders Getting a Fair Deal?

Litigation Photo

The investigation concerns whether the Immune Design board failed to satisfy its duties to the Company shareholders, including whether the board adequately pursued alternatives to the acquisition and whether the board obtained the best price possible for Immune Design shares of common stock. Nationally recognized Johnson Fistel is investigating whether the proposed deal represents adequate consideration, especially given that one Wall Street analyst has a $9.00 price target on the stock and the Company has approximately $100 million in cash and no long-term debt.

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