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Fundamental Analysis

US Economy Experiencing Slow Growth Confirmed by Non-farm Payroll, Manufacturing, and Retail Sales Data

The Core Retail Sales Report measures changes in the total value of sales at the retail level in the U.S., excluding automobiles. The report shows the rate of consumer spending. It functions as a pace indicator for the U.S. economy, how fast or how slow the growth of the economy is currently progressing. As we can see in the report, the previous reading was 1.0%, the forecasted reading 0.1%, and the actual reading came in at 0.0%. So, this is confirming that U.S. economic growth has slowed down dramatically or is slowly growing.

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Pre-recession Could be Current State of U.S. Economy, Emotionally!

Defining a recession as two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth doesn’t tell the whole story of the effect human emotions has on the financial markets. Before there are any consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth, there is the impact of human emotions on the financial markets, which should be taken into consideration. So, by the time two quarters of consecutive GDP growth hits the headlines, investors’ emotions would’ve already nose-dived into depression, dragging down the economy with it. That scenario could be the vampire plaguing the current U.S. economy.

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US Federal Rate cut has come and gone, Now What?

The price of gold has certainly benefitted from the US-China trade war, hitting a six-year high of $1,510. When there are uncertainties in the US dollar and global economy, investors look for safe-haven asset classes to stash their cash. Gold is one of those safe-haven asset classes that investors turn to during times of trouble. In addition, the price of gold is inversely proportional to the price of the US dollar. This means that whenever the price of gold goes up, the price and value of the US dollar goes down. So, as currency traders who trade the USD against other currencies, we should all understand the relationship between the USD and AUX (Gold).

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US Retail Sales Rose, But Building Permits Fall; Fed Rate Cut Decision Pending

The monthly building permit report is watched closely by traders, investors, economists, and by the Federal Reserve. Because all related factors associated with the construction of a building are very important economic activities (for example, financing and employment), the building permit report can give major hints as to the current state of the economy in the not-so-distant future. So, the fact that the latest building permit numbers came in well below estimates, there is cause for concern and the Feds may very will cut interest rate to jump start the economy by putting a cap on the progress of deflation.

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Willamette Valley Vineyards Posts a Profit for 2018

Growth stock image

Jim Bernau, Founder and President of the winery, said "We are pleased Income from Operations was up 15% for the year. Earnings are affected by the dividend cost as we raised the money needed for the planned winery near Dundee prior to construction. As we are able to deploy these development funds, we expect the projected earnings to more than offset the higher dividend costs."

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Financial Statements of the ECB for 2018

ECB profit increased in 2018

The ECB’s net profit is distributed to the euro area national central banks (NCBs). The Governing Council decided to make an interim profit distribution, amounting to €1,191 million, to the euro area NCBs on 31 January 2019. At yesterday’s meeting, the Governing Council decided to distribute the remainder of the profit, amounting to €384 million, on 22 February 2019.

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Brexit Uncertainty to Continue for at Least Another Two Months

A Statement from The Conference Board Press Release Provided By The Conference Board Jan 16, 2019, 07:35 ET NEW YORK, Jan. 16, 2019 /PRNewswire/ — The British parliament took a decisive step today in the Brexit divorce process to not support the plan negotiated by Prime Minister May with the European Commission. Uncertainty has dominated the entire process until now …

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When Interest Rates Rise: Winners and Losers

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The green back has appreciated over 20% against other currencies since July 2014 in anticipation of a rate hike. A strong dollar is a positive for consumers buying goods or traveling overseas, but the flipside is that a strong dollar ends up hurting American exporters.

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