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Economic News

US Economy Experiencing Slow Growth Confirmed by Non-farm Payroll, Manufacturing, and Retail Sales Data

The Core Retail Sales Report measures changes in the total value of sales at the retail level in the U.S., excluding automobiles. The report shows the rate of consumer spending. It functions as a pace indicator for the U.S. economy, how fast or how slow the growth of the economy is currently progressing. As we can see in the report, the previous reading was 1.0%, the forecasted reading 0.1%, and the actual reading came in at 0.0%. So, this is confirming that U.S. economic growth has slowed down dramatically or is slowly growing.

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Pre-recession Could be Current State of U.S. Economy, Emotionally!

Defining a recession as two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth doesn’t tell the whole story of the effect human emotions has on the financial markets. Before there are any consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth, there is the impact of human emotions on the financial markets, which should be taken into consideration. So, by the time two quarters of consecutive GDP growth hits the headlines, investors’ emotions would’ve already nose-dived into depression, dragging down the economy with it. That scenario could be the vampire plaguing the current U.S. economy.

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US Treasury 30-Year Bond Yield Hits Record Low, Economy Heading for Recession?

The infamous inverted yield curve is used to forecast economic recession and it too has shown itself a few times recently, flip flopping its way into the hearts of paranoid investors. The take-away from this is that for a true economic recession to occur, the inverted yield curve must remain inverted for many months to qualify as a true predictor of economic recession.

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US Retail Sales Rose, But Building Permits Fall; Fed Rate Cut Decision Pending

The monthly building permit report is watched closely by traders, investors, economists, and by the Federal Reserve. Because all related factors associated with the construction of a building are very important economic activities (for example, financing and employment), the building permit report can give major hints as to the current state of the economy in the not-so-distant future. So, the fact that the latest building permit numbers came in well below estimates, there is cause for concern and the Feds may very will cut interest rate to jump start the economy by putting a cap on the progress of deflation.

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US Inflation Rate Fell from 1.8% to 1.6% Giving Strong Indication of a Fed Rate Cut in July

With a strong US dollar, the stock market suffers. This was also one of the reasons why President Donald Trump lashed out at the Feds claiming that the agency was not doing enough to stimulate the economy, condemning the agency for hiking interest rates two times this year, thus stifling the efforts of the US President to stimulate the economy when he championed the passing of legislation which allows huge tax breaks to companies.

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