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Monthly Archives: July 2019

The Current EUR-USD Price Action is Not Surprising

The moment the decision by the Feds to cut US interest rate is announced on July 31st, the US dollar will begin tumbling faster than a lightning thunder bolt. This is how the game is played. So, if you don’t understand the game, it is time to learn it.

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US Retail Sales Rose, But Building Permits Fall; Fed Rate Cut Decision Pending

The monthly building permit report is watched closely by traders, investors, economists, and by the Federal Reserve. Because all related factors associated with the construction of a building are very important economic activities (for example, financing and employment), the building permit report can give major hints as to the current state of the economy in the not-so-distant future. So, the fact that the latest building permit numbers came in well below estimates, there is cause for concern and the Feds may very will cut interest rate to jump start the economy by putting a cap on the progress of deflation.

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US Inflation Rate Fell from 1.8% to 1.6% Giving Strong Indication of a Fed Rate Cut in July

With a strong US dollar, the stock market suffers. This was also one of the reasons why President Donald Trump lashed out at the Feds claiming that the agency was not doing enough to stimulate the economy, condemning the agency for hiking interest rates two times this year, thus stifling the efforts of the US President to stimulate the economy when he championed the passing of legislation which allows huge tax breaks to companies.

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US Fed Rate Cut Sentiment Thwarted, Euro Free Falling

The ECB is hell bent on keeping the value of the Euro as low as possible in order to compete with Trump’s USD for bottom-dwelling supremacy. Going forward, an interest rate decision either by the ECB or the FOMC in the not so distant future favoring the Euro could cause a rapid rise of the currency pair back up toward the 1.1400 level.

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